Six Nations Supercomputer predicts dismal start for England and Steve Borthwick

Tuesday, 28 January 2025 at 18:47

byRugby Rucker

With the Six Nations fast approaching, Sports4Cast has crunched the numbers to deliver its predictions for the opening round—and it’s not good news for England fans.

Find your local Greene King and settle in for the 2025 Six Nations!

Using cutting-edge algorithms and statistical modelling, Sports4Cast analyses team form, player performance, historical results, and countless other data points to generate forecasts for the tournament.

Their supercomputer doesn’t just stop at predicting winners; it also provides win probabilities and anticipated scorelines. Here's how it sees the first round of fixtures unfolding:

Friday, 31st January – France v Wales

Location: Paris

France head into this clash as heavy favourites, with home advantage in Paris and a formidable squad brimming with talent. Wales, under new management, face a tough challenge to keep this game competitive. With a meagre 7% chance of victory, the odds are firmly stacked against the visitors.

Saturday, 1st February – Scotland v Italy

Location: Edinburgh

Scotland win probability: 84%
Italy win probability: 13%
Predicted score: Scotland 32-17 Italy
Forecast: Backing Scotland

Scotland are expected to start strong in front of a passionate Murrayfield crowd. The supercomputer gives Italy little hope, with their win probability sitting at just 13%. After a solid showing last year, Scotland will be eager to prove they belong in the conversation for the top spots.

Saturday, 1st February – Ireland v England

Location: Dublin

Ireland win probability: 79%
England win probability: 18%
Predicted score: Ireland 35-19 England
Forecast: Leaning Ireland

Ireland are strong favourites for this heavyweight clash, boasting both home advantage and excellent form. England, meanwhile, are seen as clear underdogs with just an 18% chance of victory. A trip to Dublin is always a daunting prospect, and if England can’t pull off a surprise, they’ll face significant pressure heading into the second round.

Name the top 10 scorers in Six Nations history

Think you know your rugby history? The Six Nations Championship has seen some of the game's most iconic players rack up incredible points over the years.

From pinpoint goal-kicking maestros to dynamic try-scoring machines, these legends have left their mark on the competition.

But how well do you know them? Can you guess who sits atop the leaderboard and who just sneaks into the top 10? Take the quiz and prove your rugby knowledge!